The Point: America’s Baby Famine

America isn’t replacing itself. For the Colson Center, I’m John Stonestreet with The Point.

Writing at Medium, economist Lyman Stone forecasts the fertility rate in America for 2017 at 1.77. That’s down from 1.82 in 2015, and continues the downward trend.

What do these numbers mean? Well, every country needs a fertility rate of 2.3. Any fewer than that, and the population shrinks and ages. And if you discount immigration, the U.S. population is doing exactly that.

The 2008 recession is over, but the fertility rate hasn’t recovered. If Stone is right, we’re currently seeing the lowest birth rate since the end of the baby boom era.

To see where this is headed, look at Europe, or better yet, Japan, where a “demographic time bomb” has cost trillions in GDP and created a cycle of despair, overwork, and is even associated with less sex! Which, of course, means fewer babies.

The numbers suggest that children are a blessing. Wait, I remember reading that somewhere…….


The Great Baby Bust of 2017
  • Lyman Stone | | November 29, 2017

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  • Steve

    Just waiting for someone to come in here and praise this as decreasing the greenhouse gas emissions….

    • gladys1071

      I don’t praise this at all, but i don’t really see what the problem is, their are over 6 billion people on this planet, i don’t think we will be going extinct anytime, we are not dying out as a species, so i don’t see a problem with a lower birth rate.

      These articles about the birth rate and fertility really need to stop. You cannot force people that don’t want to have children to have them. Children are not plants, their require attention and mindful parents and not everyone wants to be a parent.

      Stop with the fearmongering, their will always be enough people reproducing to keep the species from going extinct, after all people still like having sex.

      • Jim H

        Glad to see you are okay. I hadn’t seen you post anything for awhile and I was getting a little concerned.
        I hope you are doing well.

        • gladys1071

          i am, just got pre-occupied with other things. I will probably be posting less from now on, but i am alright, thanks for your concern.