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Knowing


Rod Dreher is angry about something Army Chief of Staff General George Casey said in response to the massacre at Fort Hood:

"I'm concerned that this increased speculation could cause a backlash against some of our Muslim soldiers. And I've asked our Army leaders to be on the lookout for that . . . "

Not having watched CNN's State of the Union, I have no idea what the context of the comment was. I agree that if this was the first thing or one of the first things Casey said after the massacre, it would be almost parodic in its concern for cultural sensitivity. But I don't know what else he might have said or in what order it was spoken.

What I do know is that the reaction to the massacre follows a familiar pattern that I call (with apologies to the late Elisabeth Kübler-Ross) the "Five Stages of Outrage":

  1. Shock.
  2. Post-facto digging for details. If the (alleged) perpetrators of these massacres were complete unknowns even to their neighbors, within 48 to 96 hours after their rampage the opposite is true: we know more about them than we do about some of our friends and even family members. This often has the effect of making their crimes seem overdetermined and almost inevitable, which leads to
  3. Outrage over the failure to prevent the massacre. "How could they have missed the signs?" Given what we know about the guy, why was he (or they) allowed to proceed unencumbered? That opens the door for
  4. The search for a deeper explanation. At this point, everyone with what they reckon is an applicable ax to grind -- liberal, conservative, religious, secular, carnivore, vegan, Yankees, Red Sox, etc. -- weighs in with their explanation of why the outrage wasn't prevented: political correctness, nihilism, gun control or not enough guns, etc. As a result, the anger at the perpetrator(s) spills over onto those whom we believe failed us somehow, which leads to the final phase:
  5. Recrimination and persecution of the, if not exactly innocent, not really guilty, either: General Casey, Virginia Tech officials, President Bush, etc. This is especially true when the actual perpetrator(s) are not around to answer for their crimes.

While these post-facto criticisms are often valid, they are always post-facto. As Neils Bohr said, "prediction is very difficult, especially about the future." We like to think that given enough data and a sufficiently un-blinkered outlook and heroic disposition we can see the future and avoid the stuff of future coprolites. Wishes, horses, beggars, nuts, Christmas and all that jazz.

Besides, as my favorite movie of 2009 eloquently makes clear, knowing that something is going to happen and being able to prevent it are two entirely different things.


Comments:

Bravo, Roberto, bravo. But are you saying that we can't look forward to any more very well written and insightful Point postings like this one? http://thepoint.breakpoint.org/tp-home/blog-archives/7155-out-damnd-spot-out-i-say // David, a cautious welcome back (not that I'm predicting anything). I was thinking of how Christians should react in ways that demonstrate our belief in the value of human life - as, say, the Christians did when caring for the plague victims in Rome, or how any number of individual Christians have reacted by giving their lives to spare the life of another. Similarly, we should be proactive in showing our belief in the value of human life, by setting safeguards in place to protect it as much as possible. I.e., we should show that we value more than just our own life. If, indeed, we're all going to die, then what's the purpose of bothering to alleviate anyone else's suffering - let us eat and drink, for tomorrow... But if human life has value, then we really should care, even about that nameless ensign on the original Star Trek TV series who beamed down with the rest of the party and was the first to go - prettymuch every week. I would always fast-foward through Roberto's five phases, and conclude that Gene Roddenberry was at fault.
Lee, all of us are going to die, and there isn't anything we can do about it - except live well. One doesn't even have to be a Christian to figure that out. I don't think of fatalism as fatal (since living is fatal), but it can certainly be debilitating - or liberating. I am a Christian, and I am hopeful - hopeful that I will, by the grace of God, be able to "live well", as God would define that. I can see where we could be proactive about living well, but I am wondering what it is you would have us react to?
Lee, Breakpoint recently aired two very well written and remarkably insightful commentaries about the whole 12/21/2012 phenomenon. You should give them a listen. What I think about it and the movie, which I plan on seeing this weekend, is in them since they are very well written and remarkably insightful.
Roberto, "2012" is out shortly - yet another "We're all gonna die and you can't do anything about it" flick, right in line attitudinally with your periodic blog entries about the End Of The World. So shouldn't that be "favorite movie so far in 2009"? Not that I'm predicting anything, mind you. // It seems to me that fatalism is a fatal disease. Shouldn't Christians of all people be the most hopeful, and therefore the most proactive - and reactive?
Yep, yep, yep.
Couldn't one argue that the central point of all this is an unconscious belief in the right to immunity from tragedy?